2026 season
The Slate · Week 7
Betting linesEvery game is final. Lines are the closing lines this week was graded against.
ESF picked 8 of 14 winners · Market picked 10 of 14.
ESF model (pre-game CAP win pct) Market (median of US books, vig removed)
| Game away @ home | Kickoff Pacific | Gap, pts ESF − market | Spread home | Moneyline away / home | ESF pick win prob | Market pick win prob | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE @ CHI Final · CHI won | Thu 5:15 PM | −5 | −3 | +134 / −154 | CHI 53% | CHI 59% | CHI won | |
| PIT @ NO Final · PIT won | Sun 6:30 AM | +1 | +3 | −160 / +135 | PIT 58% | PIT 59% | PIT won | |
| CIN @ BAL Final · CIN won | Sun 10:00 AM | +22 | +3 | −160 / +135 | BAL 63% | CIN 59% | CIN won | |
| CLE @ TEN Final · CLE won | Sun 10:00 AM | −9 | +2 | −134 / +108 | CLE 64% | CLE 54% | CLE won | |
| IND @ MIN Final · MIN won | Sun 10:00 AM | +8 | −7 | +267 / −330 | MIN 82% | MIN 74% | MIN won | |
| MIA @ NYJ Final · MIA won | Sun 10:00 AM | −13 | −3.5 | +167 / −199 | NYJ 51% | NYJ 64% | MIA won | |
| NYG @ HOU Final · NYG won | Sun 10:00 AM | −7 | −10.5 | +374 / −485 | HOU 73% | HOU 80% | NYG won | |
| SF @ ATL Final · ATL won | Sun 10:00 AM | −15 | +2.5 | −145 / +125 | SF 72% | SF 57% | ATL won | |
| TB @ CAR Final · TB won | Sun 10:00 AM | +12 | −3 | +138 / −160 | CAR 71% | CAR 59% | TB won | |
| DEN @ ARI Final · DEN won | Sun 1:05 PM | −10 | +4.5 | −230 / +190 | DEN 77% | DEN 67% | DEN won | |
| GB @ DET Final · DET won | Sun 1:25 PM | −14 | −4 | +167 / −195 | DET 50% | DET 64% | DET won | |
| LA @ LV Final · LA won | Sun 1:25 PM | ±0 | +3 | −175 / +150 | LA 61% | LA 61% | LA won | |
| KC @ SEA Final · SEA won | Sun 5:20 PM | −1 | −3 | +138 / −158 | SEA 58% | SEA 59% | SEA won | |
| DAL @ PHI Final · DAL won | Mon 5:15 PM | +30 | +4 | −220 / +180 | PHI 65% | DAL 66% | DAL won |
Picks: blue means the pick was right, red and struck through means wrong. Shaded rows: ESF and the market differ by 10 points or more. Market probability: moneylines with the bookmaker's margin (vig) removed, the median across US books; a final game uses the last pull before its kickoff. Spread: negative means the home team is favored. Lines as of Oct 26, 4:46 PM PT. Home win probability, the gap in points, spread and moneyline are on each game's page.
Betting linesByes: BUF, JAX, LAC, WAS.